Tuesday, May 17, 2011

THE SELF WINNOWING FIELD -- For Just A Minute Radio for Tuesday 110517

I’ve heard it said quite a bit, that it’s not usual to have it this cold this time of the Spring…

 

But it’s here – and nothing like the hardships that are being endured by those folks who have lost their homes and farms and whatever else down there in the Mississippi Delta. We should all be in prayer for their recovery and well-being as well as doing all we can to help.

 

Meantime the mills of politics continues to grind slowly and exceedingly small.

 

For someone as intellectually gifted as the former Speaker,  ‘walk off the cliff’ – so to speak before the contest has formally begun – well, it happens. But the consensus among the observers seems to be he damaged himself rather severely over the weekend.  Thus it is in the big leagues.

 

So today’s program really deals with a smallish poll – and I’m sure somewhat unscientific – to be so quickly taken.  But as another backwoods philosopher opined – “Hit may be a squar wheel – but hit’s better’n no wheel a’tall.” So… with that bit of wisdom stuck in our teeth… we’ll examine what a smallish newspaper published for the folks who work on Capitol Hill says is going on up there right now.

 

You can hear it on the air or read it off the published script. I have no idea how many folks were interviewed or what the size of the sample is – but you’re going to get lot of information over the next close to 19 months before we get around to casting the votes due in early November 2012 – and I would venture a guess that perhaps while this poll possibly lacks the hairsplitting precision of some of the later ones – I believe it will prove to be pretty close to the mark when we pull it out after this 19 month interval is over – and find it was indeed better than no wheel at all – and that’s what we’re looking for at this stage of the game.

 

In baseball they used to call it the ‘hot stove league’ – because when the major league players were sittin’ around the general store speculating on who would be in or out of the line-up in the coming year – they basically were doing some ‘hot stove’ guessing… but it often proved fairly accurate because the participants – at least the older ones – had a ‘feel’ for the way things would be going next season.

 

We’ve already been through a lot of that – because once Mr. Obama had declared himself and set his sail… he was not inclined to make changes – sort of like the person in the Rudyard Kipling poem who “doesn’t know – and doesn’t know, he doesn’t know; avoid him.” So we’re playing a forecasting game with so far very little data. – But we will learn – sometimes at great price!

 

Well… no sense sitting here and speculating… let’s look around at the available data and see what we can ‘figger’ out. It ‘helps the little grey cells.’

 

Thanks for dropping by… stay warm till the sun comes up and watch out for the potholes! (J)

 

Cordially, IN HIM

 

Jack

110517AndThenThereWereFew.doc

 “JUST A MINUTE”

THE SELF WINNOWING FIELD

            Just a Minute: OK -- Gov. Huckabee says his greenlight turned red.  “The Donald” now says he’d rather be a big TV star. And the former speaker of the House burned his own bridges. So we’re down by three and that’s not even the ‘first’ round.

          Now a new Gallup poll shows seventy percent of Republicans oppose raising the debt-limit with only eight percent in favor.  Twenty one percent stand on the sidelines say they don’t have enough info to decide – according to a newspaper in DC called The Hill.”  So far as Congress is concerned, many GOP members say they are opposed to increasing the current $14.3 trillion ceiling.

          Taking a look at the entire electorate the poll says 47 percent are not in favor of an increase, while 19 percent take a contrary view -- and 34 percent say they don’t have enough information to make a decision.

          Among Democrats “The Hill’s” poll shows 26 percent oppose an increase, 33 percent are in favor --  and about the same number as the GOP – 40 percent – are too unsure to make up their minds.  

          Sure doesn’t sound like a “mandate” to me.

          <> I’m Jack Buttram.  (END)        

                              Jebco Editorial Service

                                        wmuu.com

                                        n4zhk@arrl.net

 

 

Delayed Audio Link

 

 

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